knockknockout
0x39f8bc020808e273d44631c9d4f01eb3fca342cf
- Realised P&L
- $3.75
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $104.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration89.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$165.90at 0.210Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election?
- +$46.21at 0.779Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?
- +$33.20at 0.116Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?
- +$22.03at 0.730Maduro out in 2025?
- +$20.71at 0.450Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 23:26 | Will NJ/NY Gotham FC win on 2026-07-24? | BUY | 0.5199999455 | $2.67 |
| 06-17 03:05 | Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary? | BUY | 0.9907223881 | $132.76 |
| 06-17 03:02 | Will Antonio Delgado win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.08 |
| 06-15 17:46 | Will Alex De Paula be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0085548436 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:46 | Will Winsome Earle-Sears be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0072351571 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:44 | Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0063759956 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:44 | Will Jason Miyares be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0058199172 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:41 | Will Chuck Smith be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0063688408 | $1.00 |
| 06-15 17:26 | Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0120714288 | $1.30 |
| 06-15 17:05 | Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0325864089 | $3.56 |
| 06-15 17:00 | Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.1702924388 | $18.33 |
| 06-15 16:57 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $75.05 |
| 06-05 16:49 | Will Giovanni Nappi win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? | BUY | 0.21 | $44.10 |
| 06-05 16:48 | Will Nicoletta Romano win the 2026 Casalnuovo Di Napoli mayoral election? | BUY | 0.76 | $155.80 |
| 04-25 14:55 | Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SELL | 0.66 | $144.46 |