Fred256
0x3988aaf91a32b058aeb70c73397146572ca4ea43
- Realised P&L
- $-963.46
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 2
- Open portfolio
- $211.57
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded2
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes | 0.349 | 0.355 | $211.57 | +$3.38 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? · Yes | 0.158 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$966.84 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 18:58 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.3493288261 | $208.19 |
| 06-22 19:06 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BUY | 0.16 | $748.08 |
| 06-22 19:04 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | BUY | 0.15 | $187.91 |