powpoweth
0x38b99dc592b6d709ee1e08dc401e6bd74e602834
- Realised P&L
- $-12.72
- Volume
- $4.2k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $6.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.45at 0.691Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$0.13at 0.887Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?
- +$0.06at 0.940Nothing Ever Happens: November
- +$0.04at 0.964Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
- +$0.03at 0.311Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12-24 17:28 | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 12-24 17:25 | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? | BUY | 0.6 | $1.00 |
| 12-01 23:50 | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 12-01 12:53 | Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 12-01 12:52 | Up Only podcast released by December 31? | BUY | 0.9709999981 | $1.00 |
| 12-01 12:49 | Will Karel Havlíček be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections? | SELL | 0.947 | $0.97 |
| 12-01 12:46 | Epstein client list released in 2025? | BUY | 0.9399996992 | $1.00 |
| 11-28 22:22 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SELL | 0.971 | $0.99 |
| 11-27 15:07 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BUY | 0.978999441 | $1.00 |
| 11-27 14:56 | Will CZ return to Binance by December 31? | BUY | 0.959999616 | $1.00 |
| 11-27 14:54 | Nothing Ever Happens: Taylor Swift Edition | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 15:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 26? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.17 |
| 11-26 15:07 | Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.32 | $1.03 |
| 11-26 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in London be between 46-47°F on November 26? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 11-26 15:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |