PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x38b0e72e490785758538aab062c754b783d62d24

Realised P&L
$5.36
Volume
$641.00
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$18.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027? · Yes0.2901.000$9.00+$6.39
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4200.225$4.05$3.51
Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? · Yes0.0290.063$3.15+$1.70
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes0.3700.200$1.00$0.85
Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.2000.195$0.97$0.03
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.1100.041$0.41$0.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 22:02Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027?BUY0.12$1.44
07-04 15:16China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.93$4.65
06-14 02:01Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.31$1.86
05-30 23:39Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.923$8.31
05-30 23:39Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.68$7.48
05-30 23:38Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.32$1.60
05-30 23:38Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.66$3.30
05-30 23:38Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.11$1.10
05-30 23:37Will The Netherlands recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$1.00
05-23 05:27Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.439$3.95
05-23 05:27Will Russia rejoin the G7 before 2027?BUY0.952$5.71
05-23 05:26US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?BUY0.83$6.64
05-23 05:26Modi out by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$4.60
05-20 23:28Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.54$2.70
05-20 23:27Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.83$5.81