Walter8960
0x38632b636700bd57f10ca401a1f2966d57ae8823
- Realised P&L
- $-28.05
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $58.94
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 5? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $23.44 | −$0.06 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $20.09 | −$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 5? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $8.89 | −$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $5.17 | −$0.00 |
| Will Genevieve Scott win the Republican Primary for U.S. Senate in Michigan? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $1.35 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.76at 0.870Bitcoin above $95,000 on January 17?
- +$0.57at 0.996Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 16 to September 23, 2025?
- +$0.41at 0.997Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?
- +$0.28at 0.998Will "Weapons" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than $29m?
- +$0.14at 0.999Will Elon tweet between 400 and 419 times September 5–12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 23:48 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 84°F or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.10 |
| 08-04 21:20 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.90 |
| 08-04 15:14 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 93°F or below on August 5? | BUY | 0.9979999456 | $5.17 |
| 08-04 11:55 | Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.00 |
| 08-04 11:41 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $23.50 |
| 08-04 07:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999864 | $13.80 |
| 08-04 03:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $28.26 |
| 08-04 02:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999762 | $28.30 |
| 08-03 23:07 | Will "72 Hours" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.30 |
| 08-03 22:40 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.30 |
| 08-03 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be 71°F or below on August 4? | BUY | 0.9987563946 | $20.50 |
| 08-03 15:03 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.70 |
| 08-03 09:27 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.30 |
| 08-03 08:31 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.78 |
| 08-03 08:30 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $23.37 |