Moneystack
0x384f3f1e6581ee19747df7f5402ebcd3b57df37a
- Realised P&L
- $327.99
- Volume
- $83.0k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $90.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Squid FDV above $30M one day after launch · Yes | 0.950 | 0.976 | $35.54 | +$0.93 |
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · No | 0.903 | 0.893 | $26.16 | −$0.28 |
| Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch · No | 0.950 | 0.998 | $19.95 | +$0.95 |
| Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch · Yes | 0.640 | 0.325 | $8.45 | −$8.19 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.34 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$89.81 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.34 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$563.06at 0.956Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?
- +$284.72at 0.184Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$171.65at 0.978Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yoon's impeachment before May?
- +$134.88at 0.118Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$106.46at 0.699LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 11:35 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | SELL | 0.9283882279 | $161.51 |
| 07-13 11:35 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.174 | $238.44 |
| 07-13 11:35 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.215 | $299.71 |
| 07-13 11:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.207 | $288.56 |
| 07-13 11:35 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.388 | $540.87 |
| 07-12 03:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.212 | $18.52 |
| 07-12 03:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $22.20 |
| 07-12 03:35 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.202 | $22.42 |
| 07-12 03:35 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.389 | $43.18 |
| 07-03 07:31 | Squid FDV above $75M one day after launch | BUY | 0.64 | $13.16 |
| 07-03 07:11 | Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch | BUY | 0.95 | $19.00 |
| 07-03 07:10 | Squid FDV above $30M one day after launch | BUY | 0.95 | $34.61 |
| 06-04 05:38 | Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30? | BUY | 0.9932053571 | $111.24 |
| 05-27 02:16 | Will Woo Sang-ho win the 2026 Gangwon Province gubernatorial election? | BUY | 0.91 | $49.14 |
| 05-26 20:54 | Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31? | SELL | 0.049 | $51.68 |