omiloshko
0x3810ce624feaea9f8817f194b7e9472704594d0c
- Realised P&L
- $-723.70
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $86.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-39.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? · No | 0.958 | 0.955 | $47.00 | −$0.17 |
| Will Brandon Lowe lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season? · No | 0.991 | 0.985 | $39.30 | −$0.24 |
| Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · No | 0.988 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.28at 0.969Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
- +$1.14at 0.949Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
- +$0.85at 0.940Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.34at 0.984Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.940Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 06:45 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.98 | $26.46 |
| 05-07 11:02 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány? | SELL | 0.999 | $22.10 |
| 05-07 05:57 | Knicks vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.8199999999 | $700.70 |