bare-dollar
0x3779b860139ba123b9c0d13c631bb9164575f61c
- Realised P&L
- $-59.06
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No | 0.778 | 0.890 | $1.1k | +$133.15 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.068 | $33.75 | −$17.25 |
| Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.049 | $30.81 | −$16.53 |
| Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.085 | $28.22 | +$4.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.57at 0.590Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?
- +$42.02at 0.740Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
- +$38.83at 0.630Nothing Ever Happens: May
- +$28.26at 0.770Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$22.00at 0.900Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-04 02:42 | Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.074 | $4.16 |
| 06-02 01:47 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.79 | $9.48 |
| 05-30 12:01 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.78 | $8.90 |
| 05-30 07:27 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 05-18 11:36 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 05-18 11:35 | Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 05-14 16:34 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.02 |
| 05-14 15:24 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.8 | $6.40 |
| 05-14 13:42 | Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $36.88 |
| 05-14 13:37 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.8 | $65.60 |
| 05-14 13:37 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.79 | $6.32 |
| 05-14 13:36 | Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $195.65 |
| 05-13 15:41 | Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $198.00 |
| 05-13 10:20 | Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.73 | $12.91 |
| 05-13 10:20 | Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $31.30 |