PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

bare-dollar

0x3779b860139ba123b9c0d13c631bb9164575f61c

Realised P&L
$-59.06
Volume
$9.3k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration48.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration91.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
GTA 6 launch postponed again? · No0.7780.890$1.1k+$133.15
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1020.068$33.75$17.25
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0740.049$30.81$16.53
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0700.085$28.22+$4.98

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-04 02:42Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.074$4.16
06-02 01:47GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.79$9.48
05-30 12:01GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.78$8.90
05-30 07:27GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.75$30.00
05-18 11:36GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.78$3.90
05-18 11:35Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?SELL0.75$3.75
05-14 16:34GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.8$6.02
05-14 15:24GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.8$6.40
05-14 13:42Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.87$36.88
05-14 13:37GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.8$65.60
05-14 13:37GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.79$6.32
05-14 13:36Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?SELL0.9$195.65
05-13 15:41Will Greece come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?BUY0.9$198.00
05-13 10:20Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?SELL0.73$12.91
05-13 10:20Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by May 31, 2026?SELL0.74$31.30