gatsbby
0x376bae0abed0aed6b5739e13838e9c40108fd81b
- Realised P&L
- $4.2k
- Volume
- $606.6k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $25.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration99.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.006 | $25.79 | −$104.96 |
| Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.9k |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
| Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.2kat 0.130Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
- +$16.96at 0.045Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?
- +$-8.6kat 0.090Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-03 17:32 | Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.0203349364 | $394.18 |
| 03-02 21:36 | Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.022 | $3.00 |
| 03-02 21:28 | Will Ali Larijani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | BUY | 0.045 | $0.45 |
| 01-31 16:06 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | SELL | 0.022 | $7.59 |
| 01-30 04:24 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.1 | $500.00 |
| 01-30 04:14 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.09 | $900.00 |
| 01-30 04:13 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 01-30 04:10 | Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.09 | $900.00 |
| 09-17 08:34 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 08:33 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.06 | $392.71 |
| 09-17 08:33 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.06 | $60.00 |
| 09-17 08:31 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0587962897 | $250.00 |
| 06-24 08:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | SELL | 0.0518228816 | $125.40 |
| 06-24 07:56 | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BUY | 0.049 | $12.28 |
| 06-24 07:51 | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BUY | 0.044 | $10.14 |