PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AlienXBT

0x37447d42c55b62046ad1dbf20e8df95ebb90c141

Realised P&L
$-69.9k
Volume
$3.13M
Markets traded
113
Open portfolio
$856.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded113
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Squid FDV above $200M one day after launch · No0.8470.955$722.29+$81.98
Squid FDV above $400M one day after launch · No0.9100.998$73.45+$6.44
Will Tread launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.6280.260$60.06$85.02
Up Only podcast released by October 31? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$2.49
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$9.8k
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00$2.6k
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$3.3k
Will Trump launch a coin before the election? · No0.0080.000$0.00$3.4k
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Oliveira0.2300.000$0.00$8.5k
Covington vs. Buckley · Covington0.3270.000$0.00$2.6k
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$379.07
Will Jake Paul fight Anthony Joshua in 2025? · No0.0300.000$0.00$1.2k
Will the HBO documentary identify Adam Back as Satoshi? · Yes0.0670.000$0.00$132.00
Azuro airdrop by June 30? · No0.1070.000$0.00$985.46
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open? · Yes0.0710.000$0.00$3.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:57Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?SELL0.58$2.97
07-31 12:56Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting?SELL0.62$620.00
07-28 18:16Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.2096651538$41.58
07-28 18:16Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.23$11.50
07-28 18:15Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.22$11.00
07-28 18:11Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.23$32.40
07-28 17:58Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.11$21.95
07-28 17:32Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.2409595285$281.26
07-28 17:08Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.3$121.68
07-28 16:59Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.3407692308$177.20
07-28 16:58Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.36$72.00
07-28 16:57Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.23$33.40
07-28 16:53Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?SELL0.31$40.30
07-27 17:00Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks?SELL0.17$10.24
07-27 16:59Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks?SELL0.1$32.11