AlienXBT
0x37447d42c55b62046ad1dbf20e8df95ebb90c141
- Realised P&L
- $-69.9k
- Volume
- $3.13M
- Markets traded
- 113
- Open portfolio
- $856.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded113
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.525MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.500Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?
- +$684.88at 0.942Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30?
- +$134.75at 0.210Avalanche vs. Kings
- +$53.49at 0.869Canton FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:57 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.58 | $2.97 |
| 07-31 12:56 | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 30+ times during cabinet meeting? | SELL | 0.62 | $620.00 |
| 07-28 18:16 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.2096651538 | $41.58 |
| 07-28 18:16 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.23 | $11.50 |
| 07-28 18:15 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.22 | $11.00 |
| 07-28 18:11 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.23 | $32.40 |
| 07-28 17:58 | Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.11 | $21.95 |
| 07-28 17:32 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.2409595285 | $281.26 |
| 07-28 17:08 | Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.3 | $121.68 |
| 07-28 16:59 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.3407692308 | $177.20 |
| 07-28 16:58 | Will Trump say "Tough Cookie" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.36 | $72.00 |
| 07-28 16:57 | Will Trump say "Stop Calling Me" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.23 | $33.40 |
| 07-28 16:53 | Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | SELL | 0.31 | $40.30 |
| 07-27 17:00 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.17 | $10.24 |
| 07-27 16:59 | Will Trump say "Hottest" during Michigan remarks? | SELL | 0.1 | $32.11 |