0x370029c5e09fB0C25497C12D7AF2e3DB28Bf9F54-1723375061203
0x370029c5e09fb0c25497c12d7af2e3db28bf9f54
- Realised P&L
- $543.26
- Volume
- $36.8k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $72.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)31.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.395 | $46.74 | −$28.99 |
| Will Emiliano Martinez stay at Aston Villa? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.935 | $18.70 | +$9.70 |
| Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.145 | $7.25 | −$6.25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.25 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$118.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$132.99 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$51.10 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET · Up | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.94 |
| Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 10? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - July 17, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.08 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$104.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$498.95at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7AM ET
- +$351.56at 0.500Ethereum Up or Down - March 27, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
- +$229.67at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4AM ET
- +$127.04at 0.500Solana Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
- +$99.22at 0.510Solana Up or Down - December 28, 4AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 09:21 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 3, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $136.25 |
| 06-29 19:51 | Ethereum Up or Down - June 30, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $104.55 |
| 06-17 15:10 | Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3879437476 | $30.62 |
| 06-17 15:09 | Will Propr launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.567242703 | $78.32 |
| 05-03 04:39 | Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $118.00 |
| 04-08 04:57 | Solana Up or Down - April 8, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $128.03 |
| 03-10 05:03 | Solana Up or Down - March 10, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $123.07 |
| 01-18 05:18 | Solana Up or Down - January 18, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999985 | $80.42 |
| 01-13 05:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999993 | $239.04 |
| 12-30 07:59 | Solana Up or Down - December 30, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999983 | $83.23 |
| 12-28 06:34 | Solana Up or Down - December 28, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999978 | $103.27 |
| 12-09 06:45 | Solana Up or Down - December 9, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999991 | $67.72 |
| 11-18 08:00 | Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.8B and $2B? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.05 |
| 11-18 07:59 | Will the Monad public sale commitments be between $1.8B and $2B? | BUY | 0.9722839747 | $320.48 |
| 11-01 03:46 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $75.73 |