0x36f0857b4f91eaB16A5B680b22408a4bA210B245-1783710679469
0x36f0857b4f91eab16a5b680b22408a4ba210b245
- Realised P&L
- $-579.99
- Volume
- $11.1k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $2.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration50.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.83at 0.401Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
- +$0.20at 0.420Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 21?
- +$0.20at 0.100Will Trump say "China" during Speech to the Nation?
- +$0.20at 0.080Will Guillermo del Toro appear on Hall H stage at SDCC 2026?
- +$0.20at 0.300Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (LOW) $70 Week of July 13 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 08:17 | Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks in Georgia? | SELL | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 07-21 07:31 | Will Dplus Kia Win KeSPA Cup 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $5.79 |
| 07-21 06:00 | Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.20 |
| 07-21 04:55 | Will Tremaine Edmunds finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most interceptions? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-20 11:02 | Will LGD Gaming Win the Shortest Game at EWC 2026? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 07-20 10:34 | Will Mark Sutcliffe win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election? | SELL | 0.138918 | $6.95 |
| 07-20 10:18 | Will there be 8 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 20 - July 26? | SELL | 0.64 | $12.80 |
| 07-20 08:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on July 21? | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 07-20 05:22 | Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 15–20%? | SELL | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 07-20 03:42 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 23? | SELL | 0.31 | $3.65 |
| 07-20 02:21 | Will HotSchedules be #2 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.40 |
| 07-19 13:35 | Lam Research (LRCX) Q4 China revenue mix 42%+? | SELL | 0.045 | $0.90 |
| 07-19 12:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on July 20? | SELL | 0.1547198732 | $2.93 |
| 07-19 07:21 | Will Linde (LIN) Q2 sales be above $3.8B? | SELL | 0.14 | $2.80 |
| 07-19 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 20? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.40 |