PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

LooseMathematician

0x3694556df8d5fc3a2e5cb6b7f1b1666d8dd6bd9e

Realised P&L
$-116.96
Volume
$23.5k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$894.89

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 21:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.49$8.63
08-02 21:15Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?SELL0.602$17.80
08-02 09:28US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.43$19.40
08-02 04:01Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.98$9.80
08-02 03:26Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31?SELL0.9$55.03
08-01 19:15Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.001$5.78
08-01 19:06Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.043$11.09
08-01 18:03Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.95$10.53
08-01 17:08Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.202$6.49
08-01 15:23Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.196$19.84
08-01 15:13Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?SELL0.24$7.08
08-01 15:13Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?SELL0.87$6.54
08-01 15:05Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.209$6.96
08-01 14:44Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.91$9.10
08-01 14:32Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?SELL0.37$43.05