PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x366600E2990Af0BD4ABC962F70b85A605FCeAab6-1778632856637

0x366600e2990af0bd4abc962f70b85a605fceaab6

Realised P&L
$21.9k
Volume
$246.2k
Markets traded
82
Open portfolio
$14.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded82
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration83.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.9930.995$11.8k+$22.90
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July? · No0.9990.996$847.20$2.98
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July? · No0.9980.997$737.76$1.35
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July? · No0.9990.990$306.35$2.94
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July? · No0.9991.000$194.90+$0.10
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July? · No0.9990.994$89.64$0.45
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July? · No0.9950.982$73.85$1.02
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in July? · No0.9990.989$53.38$0.57
Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel in July? · No0.9870.993$14.89+$0.09
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Elon Musk by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00$484.78
Will Donald Trump dance on May 23, 2026? · Yes0.0890.000$0.00$34.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 13:39Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July?BUY0.993$7.0k
08-03 12:53Will Trump speak to Miguel Díaz-Canel in July?BUY0.987$14.80
08-03 12:52Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in July?BUY0.995$74.86
08-03 12:52Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in July?BUY0.999$53.95
08-03 12:52Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in July?BUY0.999$194.81
08-03 12:51Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in July?BUY0.999$90.09
08-03 12:51Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in July?BUY0.999$309.29
08-03 12:51Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?BUY0.999$850.18
08-03 12:51Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in July?BUY0.9983246437$739.11
07-24 18:28Will Dow say "Carbon" 5+ times during earnings call?BUY0.9172286305$1.4k
07-21 06:02Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.998$1.91
07-20 09:07Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.995$5.06
07-20 01:24Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.9895963854$387.12
07-20 01:05Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?BUY0.986$919.04
07-19 19:28Will Antonela Roccuzzo attend the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final?BUY0.999$92.91