PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

8014a3d96c

0x35926f7f63d7478a665890c58870e567f6bec68c

Realised P&L
$1.3k
Volume
$50.6k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3400.325$2.3k$105.00
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes0.7970.775$783.48$21.94
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6500.655$727.05+$5.55
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.4740.565$508.36+$81.92
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No0.4300.435$290.60+$3.34
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$20.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$45.00
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$3.64
Set 2 Winner: Hsu/Watanabe vs Milavsky/Shick · Hsu/Watanabe0.0100.000$0.00$3.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 20:54Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.34$2.4k
08-02 20:10Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.43$287.26
08-02 18:53Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.6299172028$2.4k
08-02 17:19Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.58$521.94
08-02 17:14Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.58$347.96
08-02 16:16Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.64$448.00
08-02 16:15Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?SELL0.64$1.2k
07-27 14:25Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.63$315.00
07-23 17:59Set 2 Winner: Hsu/Watanabe vs Milavsky/ShickBUY0.01$3.30
07-22 18:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July?BUY0.0165588102$3.64
07-22 18:16Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July?BUY0.002$20.00
07-22 18:11Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?BUY0.009$45.00
07-21 18:37Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.56$56.00
07-21 13:42Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?BUY0.45$900.00
07-21 13:41Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?BUY0.52$1.1k