8014a3d96c
0x35926f7f63d7478a665890c58870e567f6bec68c
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $50.6k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.340 | 0.325 | $2.3k | −$105.00 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? · Yes | 0.797 | 0.775 | $783.48 | −$21.94 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No | 0.650 | 0.655 | $727.05 | +$5.55 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · Yes | 0.474 | 0.565 | $508.36 | +$81.92 |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? · No | 0.430 | 0.435 | $290.60 | +$3.34 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$45.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.64 |
| Set 2 Winner: Hsu/Watanabe vs Milavsky/Shick · Hsu/Watanabe | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$831.20at 0.526Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
- +$286.00at 0.780Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$41.86at 0.590Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 20:54 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.34 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 20:10 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.43 | $287.26 |
| 08-02 18:53 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.6299172028 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 17:19 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.58 | $521.94 |
| 08-02 17:14 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.58 | $347.96 |
| 08-02 16:16 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $448.00 |
| 08-02 16:15 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.2k |
| 07-27 14:25 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.63 | $315.00 |
| 07-23 17:59 | Set 2 Winner: Hsu/Watanabe vs Milavsky/Shick | BUY | 0.01 | $3.30 |
| 07-22 18:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in July? | BUY | 0.0165588102 | $3.64 |
| 07-22 18:16 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in July? | BUY | 0.002 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 18:11 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.009 | $45.00 |
| 07-21 18:37 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.56 | $56.00 |
| 07-21 13:42 | Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $900.00 |
| 07-21 13:41 | Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.1k |