HinterMailand
0x350ebc076a4736a116204e6cb74ff1e1f4e1f453
- Realised P&L
- $-839.97
- Volume
- $49.7k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $4.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie endorse Dan Osborn for NE-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes | 0.657 | 0.188 | $3.75 | −$9.39 |
| Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.049 | $1.23 | −$0.51 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.99 |
| Will Trump say "Great Shape" this week? (February 15) · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$430.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? · Yes | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$172.22at 0.553Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
- +$126.95at 0.810Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET
- +$102.42at 0.829Will Liverpool win on 2025-05-11?
- +$100.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$94.53at 0.912Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 19:01 | Will Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.993 | $9.93 |
| 05-30 18:56 | Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? | SELL | 0.8697435897 | $33.92 |
| 02-14 12:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8470076931 | $297.48 |
| 02-14 12:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.9514263784 | $299.68 |
| 02-14 12:08 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.819999993 | $6.92 |
| 02-14 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4607843047 | $19.38 |
| 02-14 12:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.81 |
| 02-13 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.9892035324 | $610.78 |
| 02-13 17:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $19.99 |
| 02-13 17:22 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8477111764 | $99.17 |
| 02-13 17:21 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $39.30 |
| 02-13 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6811425 | $26.60 |
| 02-13 17:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999911 | $19.38 |
| 02-12 21:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.235528 | $11.59 |
| 02-12 21:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $48.44 |