PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Reverie1976

0x34918264ef2b31933f6b9a8f927b522742a1499f

Realised P&L
$116.65
Volume
$33.1k
Markets traded
2,307
Open portfolio
$269.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,307
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration8.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · No0.9760.997$19.93+$0.41
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · No0.9900.988$19.75$0.05
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.9500.940$19.74$0.21
Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? · No0.9900.986$19.71$0.09
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · No0.9900.982$19.63$0.17
Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee? · Yes0.9890.980$19.60$0.18
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9800.973$19.45$0.15
Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · Yes0.9300.925$19.43$0.10
Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11? · No0.9750.970$19.39$0.11
Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.9890.963$19.25$0.53
Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07? · No0.9650.953$19.06$0.24
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? · Yes0.9100.895$18.80$0.31
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election? · No0.9630.930$18.61$0.65
Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06? · No0.9800.975$9.74$0.06
Will FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs. Bayer Leverkusen end in a draw? · Yes0.9900.965$7.72$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 23:09Will Haley Stevens win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.976$19.52
08-03 23:09Will Abdul El-Sayed win Macomb County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.91$19.11
08-03 23:09Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?BUY0.95$19.95
08-03 23:09Will Sean McCann be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.989$19.78
08-03 23:09Will Diop Harris be the MI-04 Democratic nominee?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 23:09Will William Lawrence be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.93$19.53
08-03 23:09Will Bridget Brink be the Democratic nominee for MI-07?BUY0.965$19.30
08-03 23:09Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?BUY0.98$9.80
08-03 23:09Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?BUY0.99$19.80
08-03 23:09Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.989$19.78
08-03 23:09Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?BUY0.963$19.26
08-03 23:09Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?BUY0.98$19.60
08-03 23:09Will Aisha Farooqi be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?BUY0.975$19.50
08-03 19:43Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:30PM-3:45PM ETBUY0.91$14.56
08-03 19:15Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETBUY0.98$14.70