lxmlt
0x34777a6c14181b2e6a3abc0703b6e8470b789f2a
- Realised P&L
- $-14.16
- Volume
- $2.9k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $69.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration2.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? · No | 0.904 | 0.925 | $21.73 | +$0.50 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? · No | 0.810 | 0.915 | $19.67 | +$2.26 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? · No | 0.923 | 0.930 | $18.16 | +$0.14 |
| Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.928 | 0.897 | $9.68 | −$0.33 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? · No | 0.820 | 0.002 | $0.05 | −$24.96 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 29? · Up | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.79 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026? · No | 0.924 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.82 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C or higher on July 29? · No | 0.890 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.34 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on July 26? · Yes | 0.835 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 30°C on August 1? · No | 0.905 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.54at 0.897Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on July 12?
- +$4.37at 0.833Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 26?
- +$3.89at 0.860Bitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 11PM ET
- +$3.60at 0.898Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 12?
- +$3.52at 0.817Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 06:45 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.9228202264 | $18.02 |
| 08-04 05:46 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.903615527 | $21.23 |
| 08-04 02:11 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.82 | $25.01 |
| 08-03 17:16 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8099999972 | $17.41 |
| 08-03 07:46 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.92 | $12.83 |
| 08-03 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9199999976 | $15.11 |
| 08-03 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9199999975 | $14.96 |
| 08-02 23:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.8974518683 | $17.61 |
| 08-02 19:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.9247361847 | $20.73 |
| 08-02 09:46 | Spread: Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5) | BUY | 0.92 | $14.79 |
| 08-02 07:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down on August 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $11.67 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C or below on August 2? | BUY | 0.9199999167 | $10.60 |
| 08-01 19:46 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.9 | $12.47 |
| 08-01 19:01 | Map Handicap: BCG (-1.5) vs ENCE (+1.5) | BUY | 0.9264995278 | $11.54 |
| 08-01 16:46 | Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.8789999513 | $13.60 |