poulthepilot737
0x3465cd4353728047ee6cd8d04776de4b8ebbe882
- Realised P&L
- $2.24
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 877
- Open portfolio
- $11.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded877
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.18at 0.110Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
- +$12.84at 0.542The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Brave
- +$9.76at 0.170Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
- +$9.11at 0.180Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
- +$9.00at 0.100Ethereum Up or Down - July 25, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:17 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.75 |
| 08-04 17:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 17:04 | The Hundred, Women: Sunrisers Leeds vs London Spirit | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.85 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 16:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 15:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999866 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 12:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.699999993 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 11:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 08:21 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.5199999813 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 22:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8533777773 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET | BUY | 0.86 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5987083464 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |