syntarya
0x33fcc7112575fb274e39763f487f1d4a973adc88
- Realised P&L
- $-4.2k
- Volume
- $246.8k
- Markets traded
- 2,680
- Open portfolio
- $281.44
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,680
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.605 | 0.625 | $49.33 | +$1.58 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.570 | 1.000 | $26.30 | +$11.30 |
| Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.085 | $26.15 | −$13.85 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.214 | $23.75 | −$6.25 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros · Houston Astros | 0.558 | 0.555 | $19.88 | −$0.12 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.620 | 0.605 | $19.52 | −$0.48 |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers · Milwaukee Brewers | 0.610 | 0.575 | $18.85 | −$1.15 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.510 | 0.605 | $15.92 | +$2.50 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.620 | 0.595 | $15.65 | −$0.66 |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.640 | 0.645 | $15.12 | +$0.12 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies · Philadelphia Phillies | 0.600 | 0.585 | $14.63 | −$0.38 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs · Los Angeles Dodgers | 0.580 | 0.555 | $14.35 | −$0.65 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees · New York Yankees | 0.525 | 0.480 | $12.63 | −$1.18 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.550 | 0.515 | $9.36 | −$0.64 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$400.15at 0.240Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Baltimore Orioles
- +$397.66at 0.220Magic vs. Pistons
- +$322.49at 0.290Canadiens vs. Flyers
- +$297.56at 0.287Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?
- +$297.34at 0.490Avalanche vs. Golden Knights
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:14 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6199999981 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5799999892 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:14 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers | BUY | 0.6099999927 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:13 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.64 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:13 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.6 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:11 | Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:11 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.629999988 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:11 | Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.5299999982 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:10 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.6899999995 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:10 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:10 | Chicago White Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.5899999894 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:10 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:09 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.5599999989 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 15:09 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.5583250215 | $20.00 |