i8ObamasChiken
0x33addbdbc4fcbcf78dd1e376fcd86be8d5f095e5
- Realised P&L
- $-15.24
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $159.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Fight Night: Kevin Holland vs. Jacobe Smith (Welterweight, Main Card) · Jacobe Smith | 0.511 | 0.500 | $64.00 | −$1.36 |
| Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex Michelsen vs Jack Draper · Jack Draper | 0.510 | 0.500 | $28.50 | −$0.57 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream · Atlanta Dream | 0.653 | 0.660 | $17.93 | +$0.19 |
| UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Islam Dulatov (Welterweight, Main Card) · Islam Dulatov | 0.799 | 0.500 | $17.90 | −$10.70 |
| Vancouver Whitecaps FC leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.280 | $15.96 | −$4.56 |
| KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers · LG Twins | 0.650 | 0.695 | $5.56 | +$0.36 |
| Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty · Seattle Storm | 0.170 | 0.185 | $4.81 | +$0.39 |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever · Las Vegas Aces | 0.460 | 0.495 | $2.97 | +$0.21 |
| Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants · Hiroshima Carp | 0.500 | 0.225 | $1.80 | −$2.20 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.85 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.28 |
| Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky · Chicago Sky | 0.494 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.32 |
| KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos · NC Dinos | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.20 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.195 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.97 |
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Miami Marlins · Miami Marlins | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.73at 0.110Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
- +$41.26at 0.420Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Fever
- +$34.94at 0.479Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
- +$17.28at 0.360Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)
- +$16.78at 0.441Orix Buffaloes vs. Chiba Lotte Marines
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:02 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever | BUY | 0.46 | $2.76 |
| 08-04 03:26 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.66 | $5.28 |
| 08-04 01:41 | KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers | BUY | 0.65 | $5.20 |
| 08-03 13:24 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.5 | $0.27 |
| 08-02 12:51 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Chicago Sky | BUY | 0.49 | $8.82 |
| 08-01 23:29 | Seattle Storm vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.78 | $8.58 |
| 08-01 02:45 | Connecticut Sun vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.17 | $1.19 |
| 08-01 01:21 | Toronto Tempo vs. Golden State Valkyries | BUY | 0.83 | $29.88 |
| 07-31 08:52 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.45 | $0.66 |
| 07-31 08:41 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.45 | $1.80 |
| 07-31 08:20 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.45 | $6.30 |
| 07-31 04:08 | New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.41 | $2.05 |
| 07-30 19:12 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.43 | $4.50 |
| 07-30 09:34 | Indiana Fever vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.73 | $8.70 |
| 07-30 05:31 | KBO: KT Wiz vs. NC Dinos | BUY | 0.52 | $5.20 |