0x334ce4f470b7acb4e7580f45783ae1d31e741cbd
- Realised P&L
- $0.83
- Volume
- $1.5k
- Markets traded
- 29
- Open portfolio
- $76.46
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded29
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.70at 0.769Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.96at 0.500Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?
- +$8.84at 0.500Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2026?
- +$1.75at 0.363Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
- +$0.68at 0.051China coup attempt before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 08:32 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.92 | $7.36 |
| 06-21 14:11 | Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? | BUY | 0.963 | $4.81 |
| 06-14 17:50 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.18 |
| 06-14 08:21 | Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.38 |
| 06-14 04:35 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-14 04:31 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.365 | $3.65 |
| 06-14 04:25 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-14 03:46 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 06-14 03:13 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.363 | $1.81 |
| 06-14 03:06 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $5.22 |
| 06-14 03:05 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 06-14 02:57 | Modi out by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.907 | $6.35 |
| 06-14 02:56 | Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | BUY | 0.359 | $2.15 |
| 06-04 08:12 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.929 | $7.43 |
| 06-04 03:47 | Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.32 |