PapaFernandMayembo21
0x333a9b68562997253a13062602a22517297bbd76
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $555.0k
- Markets traded
- 162
- Open portfolio
- $81.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded162
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration75.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$647.91at 0.310Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
- +$465.65at 0.188Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
- +$441.82at 0.022US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$379.60at 0.050Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?
- +$142.93at 0.080Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:28 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.0139999932 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 21:27 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.0120898665 | $16.00 |
| 08-01 00:57 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.0023453869 | $9.00 |
| 07-31 23:39 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.11 | $0.90 |
| 07-31 23:38 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 21:46 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.119999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 10:53 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | SELL | 0.0632727273 | $69.60 |
| 07-25 00:12 | Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 23:27 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | SELL | 0.016085225 | $32.17 |
| 07-23 23:06 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | SELL | 0.08 | $173.46 |
| 07-23 12:34 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24? | BUY | 0.017 | $34.00 |
| 07-22 20:03 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.109999999 | $100.00 |
| 07-22 20:02 | Iran leadership change by July 31? | BUY | 0.0549840859 | $80.00 |
| 07-22 20:00 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.1099999995 | $200.00 |
| 07-20 09:45 | Israel closes its airspace by July 24? | BUY | 0.0936150773 | $100.00 |