0x33287EaE7e55B86c9B4Cf4c53444F062D2Dbe6b8-1756297889537
0x33287eae7e55b86c9b4cf4c53444f062d2dbe6b8
- Realised P&L
- $43.2k
- Volume
- $1.67M
- Markets traded
- 190
- Open portfolio
- $632.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded190
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.566 | 0.055 | $420.31 | −$3.9k |
| Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes | 0.634 | 0.660 | $212.52 | +$8.22 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$650.00 |
| England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance · England | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.0kat 0.530Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?
- +$14.2kat 0.369Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-05-16?
- +$14.0kat 0.232Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance
- +$13.1kat 0.250Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?
- +$12.0kat 0.663Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 15:57 | Will FC København win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.689956368 | $8.6k |
| 08-02 15:44 | Will FC København win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.7k |
| 08-01 09:09 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.6344720497 | $204.30 |
| 07-15 19:02 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5343320077 | $6.9k |
| 07-12 16:27 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.41 | $2.0k |
| 07-12 00:46 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.73 | $5.8k |
| 07-11 22:22 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3788244688 | $1.5k |
| 07-11 21:28 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.147 | $1.5k |
| 07-11 21:08 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.145 | $1.6k |
| 07-11 20:49 | Norway vs. England: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3175 | $1.7k |
| 07-10 16:32 | Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Novak Djokovic | BUY | 0.13 | $876.18 |
| 07-09 21:38 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.0275 | $146.06 |
| 07-09 20:58 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7825 | $8.6k |
| 07-07 20:37 | Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.3493405951 | $2.1k |
| 07-07 14:43 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.86 | $12.9k |