0x331faB04d6Cc9828b296d9E450A2BdFCb5bc6E59-1762692637885
0x331fab04d6cc9828b296d9e450a2bdfcb5bc6e59
- Realised P&L
- $-40.29
- Volume
- $39.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $651.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? · Yes | 0.278 | 0.355 | $498.70 | +$107.71 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.308 | 0.335 | $152.41 | +$12.41 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET · Down | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.59 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? · No | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 4, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET · Down | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.51at 0.209Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026?
- +$73.32at 0.694Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?
- +$31.51at 0.052Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$28.75at 0.297GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
- +$18.86at 0.570Will Solana dip to $80 on June 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 18:43 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $15.00 |
| 07-29 18:43 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2999999955 | $40.00 |
| 07-29 08:51 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999935 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 10:28 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.2474145183 | $40.00 |
| 07-24 10:31 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999907 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 13:41 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.2094073689 | $20.00 |
| 07-23 10:09 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $25.00 |
| 07-21 10:10 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999933 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 08:49 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 08:48 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 08:48 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.1921407684 | $57.00 |
| 07-14 10:37 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.2999999925 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 13:51 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.257425741 | $100.00 |
| 07-10 12:39 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting? | BUY | 0.3929838 | $100.00 |
| 07-09 09:25 | GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |