PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x3307A7CE1655E0967695422901B925ffCB26D727-1746909843233

0x3307a7ce1655e0967695422901b925ffcb26d727

Realised P&L
$-40.85
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$8.38

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.2200.080$8.38$14.62
Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27? · Yes0.2730.000$0.00$40.00
Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? · No0.2900.000$0.00$110.00
Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-10 05:37Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.2196953278$23.00
08-02 16:57Will GPT-5 be released by August 15?BUY0.2899999988$110.00
06-26 05:52Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27?BUY0.2731327557$40.00
06-26 05:47DeepSeek R2 released before July?SELL0.979$4.25
06-26 05:46Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?SELL0.009$0.27
06-01 09:57Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?BUY0.1499999949$22.00
05-10 21:06Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June?BUY0.2$7.00
05-10 21:05Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
05-10 21:04Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?BUY0.2259999732$5.00
05-10 21:04Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?BUY0.2099998677$1.00
05-10 21:03Nothing Ever Happens: MayBUY0.239999856$1.00
05-10 21:01DeepSeek R2 released before July?BUY0.2299998275$1.00
05-10 21:01Google forced to sell Chrome?BUY0.0398058272$1.00
05-10 20:59Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?BUY0.0491159136$1.00
05-10 20:57Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16?BUY0.007$1.00