0x3307A7CE1655E0967695422901B925ffCB26D727-1746909843233
0x3307a7ce1655e0967695422901b925ffcb26d727
- Realised P&L
- $-40.85
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $8.38
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration79.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.080 | $8.38 | −$14.62 |
| Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27? · Yes | 0.273 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? · No | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$110.00 |
| Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$124.67at 0.150Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?
- +$17.12at 0.226Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31?
- +$11.45at 0.490US recession in 2025?
- +$3.25at 0.230DeepSeek R2 released before July?
- +$-1.00at 0.040Google forced to sell Chrome?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 05:37 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.2196953278 | $23.00 |
| 08-02 16:57 | Will GPT-5 be released by August 15? | BUY | 0.2899999988 | $110.00 |
| 06-26 05:52 | Will Elon tweet 145–159 times June 20–27? | BUY | 0.2731327557 | $40.00 |
| 06-26 05:47 | DeepSeek R2 released before July? | SELL | 0.979 | $4.25 |
| 06-26 05:46 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | SELL | 0.009 | $0.27 |
| 06-01 09:57 | Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6? | BUY | 0.1499999949 | $22.00 |
| 05-10 21:06 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? | BUY | 0.2 | $7.00 |
| 05-10 21:05 | Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be ≤4.1%? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:04 | Will Elon Musk's net worth be more than $370b on May 31? | BUY | 0.2259999732 | $5.00 |
| 05-10 21:04 | Fed emergency rate cut in 2025? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:03 | Nothing Ever Happens: May | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:01 | DeepSeek R2 released before July? | BUY | 0.2299998275 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 21:01 | Google forced to sell Chrome? | BUY | 0.0398058272 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 20:59 | Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | BUY | 0.0491159136 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 20:57 | Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 9–16? | BUY | 0.007 | $1.00 |