Shay1
0x32f9ba2b1d90d07d7c4de0427e5d23597bd89158
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $404.6k
- Markets traded
- 202
- Open portfolio
- $675.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded202
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.225 | $675.00 | +$15.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.022Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?
- +$927.96at 0.060Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
- +$678.64at 0.094Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
- +$339.59at 0.231Iran full airspace closure by July 31?
- +$293.21at 0.271Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 19:51 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 08-01 19:50 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | SELL | 0.42 | $111.20 |
| 07-25 23:22 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3588206091 | $472.00 |
| 07-25 22:03 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3599999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-24 13:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 05:11 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2399999942 | $25.00 |
| 07-19 21:16 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.0012518563 | $0.17 |
| 07-19 21:09 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 20:55 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.9294560728 | $132.77 |
| 07-19 17:10 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4199999985 | $60.00 |
| 07-19 17:08 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 16:03 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 11.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.149999994 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 16:02 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.04 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 02:49 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2720219426 | $163.60 |
| 07-16 22:18 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $91.01 |