ac43
0x32c58c32b91edc664f11b89cbfc30c1bd2ef5ec4
- Realised P&L
- $-52.70
- Volume
- $108.9k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $53.72
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)61.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.004 | $50.26 | −$78.98 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026? · No | 0.997 | 1.000 | $1.15 | +$0.00 |
| Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.15 | +$0.00 |
| Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.15 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.80at 0.005Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$3.59at 0.965Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
- +$1.18at 0.712Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
- +$0.87at 0.286Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?
- +$0.06at 0.950Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 04:27 | Will Alibaba have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.9969999991 | $1.15 |
| 06-25 04:27 | Will xAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.15 |
| 06-25 04:26 | Will Z.ai have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.15 |
| 04-30 08:51 | Will Xiaomi have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.37 |
| 04-30 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.50 |
| 03-05 08:47 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.03 |
| 03-05 08:47 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.18 |
| 11-10 19:29 | Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.005 | $27.98 |
| 11-10 19:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on November 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.00 |
| 11-10 19:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.39 |
| 10-05 18:14 | Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $2.00 |
| 10-05 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-05 18:13 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 30 to October 7, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.36 |
| 10-05 18:12 | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.008 | $98.00 |
| 05-18 04:31 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 World Series? | BUY | 0.007 | $42.21 |