0x32A0f4Ee3BeBA0017Ce2510c1E811639F9f78298-1783069345906
0x32a0f4ee3beba0017ce2510c1e811639f9f78298
- Realised P&L
- $-11.91
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 678
- Open portfolio
- $5.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded678
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.655 | $1.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.830 | 1.000 | $1.20 | +$0.20 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.965 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.920 | $1.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.290 | $0.63 | −$0.37 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.85at 0.630Ethereum Up or Down - July 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
- +$2.66at 0.530Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
- +$2.45at 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$2.13at 0.790Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$1.76at 0.740Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:52 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 19°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4599997608 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:40 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 06:28 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 20°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.919999448 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 23:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.75 |
| 08-04 23:36 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:13 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 13:10 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:47 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.25 |
| 08-04 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.29 |
| 08-04 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.63 |
| 08-04 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.78 |