RobinPerez1185
0x320f1f00bd1709c9f705f4754ac2a29855be2261
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $53.5k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $167.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$232.47at 0.370Will Kanye release BULLY by March 27?
- +$179.82at 0.150Will Leavitt say "Regime" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?
- +$170.00at 0.660Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5
- +$129.03at 0.660Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
- +$87.76at 0.490Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 10 be between 70 and 80?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-27 09:38 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $18.18 |
| 04-21 03:21 | Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.27 | $8.37 |
| 04-12 00:49 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.05 | $40.80 |
| 04-12 00:47 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.05 | $42.00 |
| 04-11 18:34 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.76 |
| 04-11 10:00 | Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $270.04 |
| 04-11 09:59 | Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $284.49 |
| 04-11 05:24 | Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.88 | $564.08 |
| 04-11 03:34 | Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.14 | $234.50 |
| 04-09 14:34 | Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April? | SELL | 0.74 | $130.24 |
| 04-08 00:58 | Will Seattle have less than 2.5 inches of precipitation in April? | BUY | 0.56 | $98.56 |
| 03-26 08:07 | Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal? | SELL | 0.17 | $58.31 |
| 03-26 03:12 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.51 | $46.41 |
| 03-25 15:35 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $418.46 |
| 03-25 15:34 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $115.15 |