isma100x
0x31f92b52bfaf3b20b6da06022670895fc01c5154
- Realised P&L
- $-17.23
- Volume
- $282.59
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $14.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.275 | $11.58 | +$3.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.015 | $2.59 | −$5.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.265 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$9.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? · Yes | 0.168 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 15:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.2647058683 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1899999815 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 15:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0462427746 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 12:00 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1683168057 | $5.00 |