Mr.Z.
0x31646b754f77b973910e7376b7015cb81fe83c65
- Realised P&L
- $5.8k
- Volume
- $413.5k
- Markets traded
- 10,909
- Open portfolio
- $761.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,909
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration6.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.79at 0.012Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 24?
- +$230.00at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Denver be 68°F or higher on May 11?
- +$96.95at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 22?
- +$90.53at 0.537Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on July 8?
- +$82.15at 0.253Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 07:10 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.9 | $4.50 |
| 08-04 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.91 | $4.55 |
| 08-04 05:21 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 04:43 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-04 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.84 | $9.24 |
| 08-04 04:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.57 |
| 08-04 04:14 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.87 | $8.70 |
| 08-04 04:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.57 |
| 08-04 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.57 |
| 08-04 04:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.89 | $4.45 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.90 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 26°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.20 |
| 08-04 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.76 | $4.56 |