notjojo
0x3119411c5b6020277ae1fe075300ff7031b5b634
- Realised P&L
- $-131.41
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $9.84
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Venezuela become 51st state? · Yes | 0.054 | 0.026 | $9.84 | −$10.16 |
| Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? · Yes | 0.163 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET · Up | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.82 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET · Down | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Up | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$155.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET · Up | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.18 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET · Down | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Down | 0.341 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$267.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET · Down | 0.132 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.00 |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$351.94at 0.090US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$167.65at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET
- +$49.00at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
- +$13.26at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET
- +$11.80at 0.410Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 13:15 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-20 02:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3413642112 | $267.90 |
| 05-20 02:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3051184463 | $155.85 |
| 05-20 02:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $3.00 |
| 05-20 02:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.1324418676 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 02:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999976 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 02:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 05-20 01:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | SELL | 0.9 | $23.93 |
| 05-20 01:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999842 | $25.00 |
| 04-18 23:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999961 | $18.36 |
| 04-18 23:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $9.18 |
| 04-18 22:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET | BUY | 0.529999965 | $4.66 |
| 04-18 22:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $4.65 |
| 04-10 23:28 | Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10? | BUY | 0.1627964968 | $16.00 |