fengaoao
0x30df3a8d12f0c25954fd492d5ef66a7899aca425
- Realised P&L
- $975.92
- Volume
- $136.1k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $50.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration65.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $47.67 | −$0.02 |
| Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.002 | $1.54 | −$2.57 |
| Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $1.50 | −$0.50 |
| Infinex FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.768 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? · Yes | 0.319 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.95 |
| Grizzlies vs. Raptors · Grizzlies | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Bulls vs. Knicks · Bulls | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$987.69at 0.520Celtics vs. 76ers
- +$276.18at 0.440Wild vs. Rangers
- +$104.31at 0.520Commanders vs. Cowboys
- +$66.94at 0.560Rangers vs. Kraken
- +$57.25at 0.490Blue Jays vs. Mariners
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:27 | Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.69 |
| 07-01 14:20 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $47.64 |
| 06-02 11:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9979999836 | $44.23 |
| 06-02 11:42 | Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 05-06 12:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May? | BUY | 0.996 | $20.15 |
| 05-01 10:46 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.00 |
| 04-09 06:11 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $23.98 |
| 04-02 10:50 | Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $21.99 |
| 04-02 10:50 | Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |
| 03-07 01:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? | BUY | 0.998 | $47.89 |
| 03-02 14:21 | Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $4.11 |
| 02-18 05:49 | Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February? | BUY | 0.993999961 | $22.01 |
| 02-16 05:31 | Will Ethereum dip to $800 in February? | BUY | 0.998 | $13.00 |
| 02-16 05:31 | Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 02-08 03:53 | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BUY | 0.319 | $15.95 |