0x3022B186C9b28cD9EEb43aDfc71014a0a66D9D10-1762806757874
0x3022b186c9b28cd9eeb43adfc71014a0a66d9d10
- Realised P&L
- $-8.65
- Volume
- $2.5k
- Markets traded
- 257
- Open portfolio
- $80.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded257
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.59at 0.610Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
- +$5.38at 0.736Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?
- +$4.80at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
- +$3.77at 0.570Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
- +$3.33at 0.750Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) win at least one seat in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 08:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999939 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 08:19 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 08:15 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $310 in August? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $224 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999953 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 08:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $310 on August 4? | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 08:11 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 4? | BUY | 0.8019801861 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 07:37 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.949999962 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:35 | Halmstads BK vs. IK Sirius: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 07:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:22 | Will Orgryte IS win on 2026-08-08? | BUY | 0.299999925 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 07:20 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 3? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $54 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:19 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.879999831 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:15 | Will Tidö parties win a majority in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.125236001 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:14 | Will the Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.9779999977 | $5.00 |