oyixi
0x2f89a2792046fc0d7f9eda65ac8abfd3ecd2ba4a
- Realised P&L
- $-266.75
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $2.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample35 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)25.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Emiliano Martinez join Bayern Munich? · Yes | 0.220 | 0.005 | $2.20 | −$94.40 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage · Xtreme Gaming | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Spurs vs. Thunder · Spurs | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No | 0.088 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$194.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.80at 0.790US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$7.80at 0.890Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$6.00at 0.690US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$5.60at 0.780Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
- +$3.00at 0.660US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-10 09:44 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.15 |
| 06-06 08:36 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.52 |
| 06-06 08:35 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.803 | $2.99 |
| 06-06 08:35 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.804 | $97.51 |
| 06-06 08:21 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.802 | $48.12 |
| 06-06 08:16 | Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.801 | $52.07 |
| 06-06 06:22 | Israel closes its airspace by June 15? | SELL | 0.07 | $0.77 |
| 06-04 13:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $212.50 |
| 06-04 06:03 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.0443067108 | $6.42 |
| 06-03 01:07 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $186.00 |
| 06-03 01:06 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.933 | $186.60 |
| 06-02 13:56 | Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.928 | $185.60 |
| 06-01 09:46 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $74.86 |
| 06-01 09:45 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30? | SELL | 0.71 | $135.09 |
| 05-30 16:31 | US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30? | SELL | 0.956 | $191.20 |