Nz2027
0x2f7709800bdd3cf81b1c89c4f8b94b36caf59da4
- Realised P&L
- $20.0k
- Volume
- $959.0k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.355 | 0.290 | $1.7k | −$390.00 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.323 | 0.345 | $1.7k | +$107.14 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? · No | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.3k |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.228 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$303.62 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? · No | 0.496 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.0k |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$696.00 |
| United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Uzbekistan? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.9kat 0.293Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$13.9kat 0.433Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$8.4kat 0.690Will Colombia win on 2026-07-03?
- +$7.3kat 0.450Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?
- +$4.7kat 0.661Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-22 06:51 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.463 | $2.3k |
| 07-21 14:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5385263882 | $31.33 |
| 07-21 14:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5199760743 | $426.18 |
| 07-21 13:52 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5598347403 | $73.61 |
| 07-21 13:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.5384387917 | $111.76 |
| 07-21 13:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.27 | $131.35 |
| 07-21 12:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.643 | $9.64 |
| 07-21 11:41 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.29 | $870.00 |
| 07-20 17:11 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $45.43 |
| 07-20 13:58 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $31.68 |
| 07-20 13:54 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.3599245984 | $1.5k |
| 07-20 13:51 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.34 | $56.62 |
| 07-20 09:09 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.31 | $551.09 |
| 07-20 01:11 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.5k |
| 07-19 05:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.449 | $322.83 |