KevinMca33
0x2f6bfc7be128d2c70613b9949cc2ab85bd92faab
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $84.8k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $12.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration29.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.040 | $4.74 | −$18.06 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.047 | 0.004 | $2.61 | −$24.75 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $2.31 | −$4.29 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in August? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.063 | $2.30 | +$0.84 |
| Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance · Algeria | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$97.15 |
| Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance · Senegal | 0.410 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$77.90 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.5k |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$156.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$197.38at 0.400Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advance
- +$195.25at 0.080Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?
- +$128.22at 0.570Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$99.75at 0.014Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$38.50at 0.740Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:09 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.15 | $13.50 |
| 08-01 18:00 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.04 | $8.00 |
| 08-01 17:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.054 | $5.40 |
| 08-01 04:15 | Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.01 | $6.60 |
| 08-01 04:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.062 | $4.96 |
| 08-01 04:12 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.30 |
| 07-09 17:23 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.775 | $589.33 |
| 07-09 05:23 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7799999998 | $593.13 |
| 07-08 01:43 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.03 | $375.00 |
| 07-08 01:40 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.029 | $298.70 |
| 07-07 18:11 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.999 | $148.49 |
| 07-07 17:33 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.79 | $217.25 |
| 07-07 14:19 | Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.08 | $22.00 |
| 07-07 14:19 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7399999997 | $110.00 |
| 07-07 14:18 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022 | $106.98 |