hqr123
0x2f128e33463ebf00341b8b3d4889b7e373749b06
- Realised P&L
- $-4.52
- Volume
- $4.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $8.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.52at 0.230Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?
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- +$9.77at 0.201MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?
- +$9.54at 0.077Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
- +$5.52at 0.155Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 20:56 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.62 | $1.24 |
| 07-15 20:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $1.74 |
| 07-11 06:50 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.058 | $0.29 |
| 07-06 06:44 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.028 | $0.56 |
| 07-06 06:40 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.047 | $0.94 |
| 06-26 09:59 | Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.02 |
| 06-26 09:56 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.40 |
| 06-26 09:36 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 06-24 12:54 | Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.93 | $2.35 |
| 06-22 09:23 | Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.09 |
| 06-22 09:20 | Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 06-19 10:32 | Will Ghana advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199995392 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 10:31 | Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 06-19 10:22 | Will Czechia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.67 | $3.35 |
| 06-19 10:20 | Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.92 | $4.60 |