leivanpaallineN77.-
0x2efd8b4ae867884206b4fc9681b2f12a4b93d295
- Realised P&L
- $-178.93
- Volume
- $41.3k
- Markets traded
- 705
- Open portfolio
- $1.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded705
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.00at 0.017Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on February 26?
- +$107.69at 0.027Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
- +$69.77at 0.028Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on February 27?
- +$62.45at 0.016Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?
- +$30.27at 0.320Bitcoin Up or Down on April 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 18:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $6.00 |
| 08-04 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0312148833 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0104761906 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0366032211 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:13 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.0196155355 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 18:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.5258033 | $10.00 |
| 04-13 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.4256535864 | $8.48 |
| 04-13 12:49 | Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.5061222523 | $8.56 |
| 04-13 11:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on April 14? | BUY | 0.0179999825 | $0.90 |
| 04-13 10:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6AM ET | BUY | 0.42 | $5.77 |
| 04-13 10:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $9.63 |
| 04-13 08:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $4.74 |
| 04-13 08:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4AM ET | BUY | 0.0865384469 | $4.34 |
| 04-13 07:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $4.74 |
| 04-13 07:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET | BUY | 0.51 | $4.74 |