0x2E9A0Cdc02c9D0F31A4c6b1f3D6fEd242dc089fC-1775147116482
0x2e9a0cdc02c9d0f31a4c6b1f3d6fed242dc089fc
- Realised P&L
- $-4.5k
- Volume
- $53.8k
- Markets traded
- 425
- Open portfolio
- $64.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded425
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.76at 0.779Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
- +$19.56at 0.315Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$19.11at 0.576Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
- +$14.49at 0.386Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
- +$12.36at 0.412Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:25 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 08-04 16:17 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.84 | $16.80 |
| 08-04 09:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-04 07:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $4.25 |
| 08-04 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.75 | $3.75 |
| 08-04 07:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 08-03 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? | SELL | 0.8025 | $16.05 |
| 08-03 10:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 08-03 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 36°C or higher on August 5? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-03 09:40 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.83 | $16.60 |
| 08-03 08:47 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C or below on August 4? | SELL | 0.98 | $1.23 |
| 08-02 20:30 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.2099998677 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:39 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 19:35 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |