0x2e759C06E2C97ba59663250563426CBe56330143-1739836054658
0x2e759c06e2c97ba59663250563426cbe56330143
- Realised P&L
- $-7.1k
- Volume
- $569.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,818
- Open portfolio
- $226.31
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,818
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? · Yes | 0.621 | 0.650 | $163.75 | +$7.41 |
| Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.306 | $63.07 | −$7.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.7kat 0.376Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?
- +$3.4kat 0.316Will "Habibti" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?
- +$1.6kat 0.699Will "Maid of Honor" - Drake debut week album sales be between 100k and 120k?
- +$708.41at 0.337Ohio State vs. Indiana
- +$650.06at 0.525Will The Life of a Showgirl’s second-week album sales be between 300k and 350k?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:08 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | BUY | 0.61 | $24.19 |
| 08-04 14:08 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.3166123342 | $21.72 |
| 08-04 13:04 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | SELL | 0.58 | $109.17 |
| 08-04 13:04 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | BUY | 0.346 | $34.60 |
| 08-04 12:44 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | SELL | 0.6059714909 | $94.37 |
| 08-04 12:16 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | SELL | 0.65 | $120.51 |
| 08-04 12:00 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | BUY | 0.3440956574 | $60.00 |
| 08-04 09:29 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | BUY | 0.669522701 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 09:29 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.1694015749 | $110.14 |
| 08-03 16:25 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | BUY | 0.6330206583 | $200.00 |
| 08-03 11:08 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | BUY | 0.617 | $61.70 |
| 08-03 11:08 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.2856037472 | $65.24 |
| 08-03 09:56 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.2512534572 | $73.58 |
| 08-03 09:56 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 300k and 350k? | BUY | 0.5671641782 | $100.00 |
| 08-03 09:55 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k? | SELL | 0.2962402366 | $115.68 |