0T0
0x2e338afc4a312f3fb14630ad02ef061f09beb565
- Realised P&L
- $-343.83
- Volume
- $78.0k
- Markets traded
- 325
- Open portfolio
- $0.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded325
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$127.00at 0.093Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
- +$99.89at 0.009Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$98.59at 0.036Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?
- +$42.30at 0.050Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
- +$40.00at 0.200Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 18:42 | Will Georgia win on 2026-03-26? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.04 |
| 03-26 18:41 | Will Kevin Larivee be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 03-26 18:41 | Will Democratic Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.03 |
| 03-21 01:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BUY | 0.28948 | $8.50 |
| 03-21 01:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | SELL | 0.3985460599 | $21.55 |
| 03-21 01:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.0881834836 | $4.33 |
| 03-21 01:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $1.94 |
| 03-20 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 20? | BUY | 0.6536040151 | $7.00 |
| 03-20 00:46 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? | BUY | 0.022736 | $5.68 |
| 03-20 00:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.50 |
| 03-20 00:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $7.90 |
| 03-19 00:49 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 19? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.88 |
| 03-19 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 19? | BUY | 0.36 | $4.59 |
| 03-19 00:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $7.39 |
| 03-19 00:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | SELL | 0.2137965261 | $13.79 |