Gard007
0x2df6b660fb38313cef2dd05e91b9620e3a1eef98
- Realised P&L
- $-277.67
- Volume
- $51.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,963
- Open portfolio
- $226.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,963
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? · No | 0.839 | 0.910 | $123.41 | +$9.59 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? · No | 0.862 | 0.865 | $82.67 | +$0.27 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? · No | 0.865 | 0.865 | $5.15 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? · No | 0.920 | 0.935 | $4.67 | +$0.07 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.565 | $4.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? · No | 0.630 | 0.665 | $2.70 | +$0.14 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 6? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.445 | $2.23 | +$0.23 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.405 | $2.13 | +$0.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 4? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.39at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24?
- +$38.94at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?
- +$38.38at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 25?
- +$29.70at 0.594Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?
- +$28.42at 0.379Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 36°C or below on June 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8699999949 | $8.49 |
| 08-04 16:20 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8899999821 | $2.49 |
| 08-04 14:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8599998776 | $2.81 |
| 08-04 14:16 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.549999868 | $1.25 |
| 08-04 14:15 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.8699999591 | $2.34 |
| 08-04 13:53 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.55 | $2.75 |
| 08-04 08:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8699999908 | $2.83 |
| 08-04 08:38 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8699999969 | $5.66 |
| 08-04 07:33 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.6299999188 | $2.56 |
| 08-04 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.995 | $20.73 |
| 08-04 07:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8699999009 | $4.30 |
| 08-04 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.82 | $4.10 |
| 08-04 06:09 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.997 | $19.73 |
| 08-04 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.8199999901 | $8.29 |
| 08-04 05:55 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.85 | $15.85 |