billc4ke
0x2cbe9a60d957266c3a80b80e881d96c2aaa6e435
- Realised P&L
- $-570.35
- Volume
- $37.2k
- Markets traded
- 346
- Open portfolio
- $25.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded346
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$55.31at 0.351Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on July 7?
- +$50.60at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?
- +$47.53at 0.385Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 6?
- +$36.60at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 6?
- +$35.98at 0.410Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:44 | Will Adrienn Laczó be the next President of Hungary? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |
| 08-03 06:42 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4276196144 | $17.96 |
| 08-01 07:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 35°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.5925048141 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.7896633073 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 07:28 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.547169801 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.64 | $20.00 |
| 08-01 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.6652016782 | $30.00 |
| 08-01 07:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.5499999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 06:52 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.6300349428 | $30.00 |
| 07-31 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.8099999931 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 06:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.8199999934 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 06:49 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.7344913056 | $20.00 |
| 07-31 06:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 36°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.4499999921 | $20.00 |
| 07-30 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $25.00 |
| 07-30 06:31 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.6837315414 | $25.00 |