0x2c97c0ec81d2fe7887aeffade57196f6b9476d28
- Realised P&L
- $129.16
- Volume
- $46.5k
- Markets traded
- 404
- Open portfolio
- $11.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded404
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.00at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 16?
- +$47.94at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 6?
- +$43.96at 0.086Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on May 30?
- +$37.53at 0.110Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on June 1?
- +$35.05at 0.074Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:58 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.80 |
| 08-04 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.75 |
| 08-04 10:53 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5? | SELL | 0.4 | $4.80 |
| 08-04 09:01 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.88 |
| 08-04 04:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.24 | $5.76 |
| 08-04 00:01 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.68 |
| 08-03 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.76 |
| 08-03 21:33 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.65 |
| 08-03 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.36 |
| 08-03 05:20 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.255 | $2.55 |
| 08-02 03:42 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.71 |
| 08-02 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 08-01 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.15412 | $1.54 |
| 08-01 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.75 |
| 07-31 21:38 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 17°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.11 | $3.41 |