gemn-
0x2c72346eeb5a3f050a54cc37c38c5b1fb359c74b
- Realised P&L
- $-20.10
- Volume
- $992.01
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $1.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $1.33 | −$1.67 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.677Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$0.92at 0.520US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$0.88at 0.420Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
- +$0.84at 0.748Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
- +$0.57at 0.840Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 09:07 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $2.28 |
| 07-31 14:54 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999454 | $2.00 |
| 07-30 08:12 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | SELL | 0.895 | $4.26 |
| 07-29 04:39 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 280m? | BUY | 0.84 | $4.00 |
| 07-28 08:25 | Will United Russia (ER) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.04 | $4.10 |
| 07-27 03:09 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.97 |
| 07-25 15:12 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 07-12 05:07 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.92 |
| 07-10 04:44 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5199999844 | $4.00 |
| 07-10 02:33 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $1.88 |
| 07-10 02:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 02:28 | Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.006999993 | $1.00 |
| 07-09 10:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.62 |
| 07-09 10:41 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | SELL | 0.1388239824 | $1.26 |
| 07-04 05:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.89 | $0.48 |