0x2c63A5C7A65adfCcB4dE200be529a8Ae50500680-1781626910345
0x2c63a5c7a65adfccb4de200be529a8ae50500680
- Realised P&L
- $-22.54
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.002 | $4.09 | −$14.99 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.52 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.97at 0.120Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 14:17 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1199999895 | $9.58 |