JSilverBBQ
0x2c2f33c7e2a73da1231a1835e10f20212be87ae4
- Realised P&L
- $-226.33
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $71.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)59.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.52at 0.101Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?
- +$32.63at 0.380Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$20.00at 0.500Will Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election?
- +$13.81at 0.420Will the Indiana Pacers win the Eastern Conference?
- +$13.42at 0.270Will ANO get between 33% and 36% of the vote in the Czech election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 02:14 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $10.00 |
| 03-09 18:00 | Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? | BUY | 0.2090017751 | $5.00 |
| 03-09 17:58 | US forces enter Iran by March 14? | BUY | 0.1791062476 | $10.00 |
| 02-09 20:01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $26.44 |
| 02-09 20:01 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $6.90 |
| 02-09 19:38 | US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.0270000002 | $5.00 |
| 01-23 00:09 | Will Frankenstein win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.0141003948 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 22:04 | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |
| 01-12 22:03 | Will Russia enter Zaliznychne by January 31? | BUY | 0.4099999836 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 22:03 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 22:02 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | BUY | 0.1800640401 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 22:01 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 22:01 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999909 | $15.00 |
| 01-12 22:00 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.4199999832 | $5.00 |
| 01-12 21:59 | Will two people dissent the January Fed decision? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |