PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x2bfe1d58e94B589a8B6650cF860e8aaa9712496f-1772222747283

0x2bfe1d58e94b589a8b6650cf860e8aaa9712496f

Realised P&L
$-615.88
Volume
$126.0k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$7.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration31.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? · Yes0.0030.001$7.01$32.98
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0840.000$0.00$200.00
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 10:25Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.0028534782$40.00
07-23 06:05Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.1270309333$428.11
07-21 17:05Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.0872363866$294.00
06-11 13:49Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.0837816772$200.00
05-24 15:13Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?BUY0.0599999995$100.00
03-16 13:41Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?SELL0.7709390179$598.35
03-15 21:18Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?BUY0.659356813$511.75
03-14 11:03Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.035630266$511.75
03-09 21:24Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.059021405$847.71
03-03 10:38US forces enter Iran by March 3?SELL0.0019782568$48.01
03-03 09:18US forces enter Iran by March 3?BUY0.01699915$200.00
03-03 09:18US forces enter Iran by March 3?BUY0.0159968006$200.00
03-01 20:53US forces enter Iran by March 3?SELL0.0347540184$143.68
03-01 08:27US forces enter Iran by March 3?BUY0.0725665608$300.00
02-28 19:45Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.399$1.4k